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Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
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Match Events

28' Event
Shirasaki R.
63'
Sub
Nishimura T. In: Akimoto T.
Out: Nishimura T.
63'
Sub
Duke M. In: Ogawa K.
Out: Duke M.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Champions League 2 game between Shanghai Shenhua and Machida Zelvia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Machida Zelvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Shanghai Shenhua
20%
Draws
52%
Machida Zelvia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Machida Zelvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Machida Zelvia come out ahead of Shanghai Shenhua on wins alone.
  • Shanghai Shenhua are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 19%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Machida Zelvia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.96 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.64 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia
0:1
Feb 10, 2026 AFC Champions League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Machida Zelvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Shirasaki R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 36 / 100
Machida Zelvia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Machida Zelvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Shenhua's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Shanghai Shenhua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Machida Zelvia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Machida Zelvia
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Shenhua

(Home)
24 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 1
Shanghai Shenhua
18 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
15 Oct
Svay Rieng
0 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 6

Machida Zelvia

(Away)
24 Oct
Vissel Kobe
0 : 0
Machida Zelvia
21 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 5
Machida Zelvia
18 Oct
Machida Zelvia
3 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
15 Oct
Tampines
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Al Kuwait 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Nasaf Qarshi 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
4 Al Khalidiyah 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Arkadag 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Al Muharraq 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Gol Gohar 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Taawon 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Al Rayyan 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Al Faisaly Amman 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Al Nahda 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Al Hussein 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 East Bengal 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Al Seeb 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Melbourne Victory 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Seoul 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Viettel 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lion City Sailors 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Adelaide Utd 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Pathum United 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Tai Po 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Svay Rieng 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Shanghai Shenhua 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Tampines 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Gangwon 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Kitchee 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
4 Kuching City FC 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)