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Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen FC

China China

Super League 2023 Shanghai Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shanghai Shenhua play Shenzhen FC in the Super League 2023. Shanghai Shenhua are favorites here. Recently, Shanghai Shenhua averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Shenzhen FC averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Shanghai Shenhua won 3, Shenzhen FC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 9, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.00 for Shenzhen FC. This points to a Shanghai Shenhua double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Shanghai Shenhua
25%
Draws
12%
Shenzhen FC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Shanghai Shenhua picked up more points recently compared to Shenzhen FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 23%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Shenzhen FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.73 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2023 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen FC
3:0
May 9, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:3
Dec 30, 2022 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen FC
2:0
Oct 9, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:0
Oct 29, 2021 FA Cup
Shenzhen FC vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Malele C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wu Xi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Shenzhen FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 61 / 100
Shenzhen FC 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Shenzhen FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Shanghai Shenhua & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shanghai Shenhua attacking → ← attacking Shenzhen FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanghai Shenhua scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Shenzhen FC let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Shanghai Shenhua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shenzhen FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 9
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shanghai Port30196561:3063
2Shandong Taishan301610459:2558
3Zhejiang Professional30167757:3455
4Chengdu Rongcheng30158751:3253
5Shanghai Shenhua30157834:3152
6Beijing Guoan30149753:3551
7Wuhan Three Towns30149751:3551
8Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301115440:2948
9Changchun Yatai301091144:4839
10Henan Songshan Longmen30991238:4036
11Meizhou Hakka30971442:5434
12Cangzhou Mighty Lions30871529:6031
13Qingdao Hainiu30771634:4528
14Nantong Zhiyun304101626:4222
15Dalian Professional303111625:4720
16Shenzhen FC30332422:7912