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Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Ganzhou Ruishi

China China

League Two 2025 Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass
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Match Events

26'
Wu Xinze
27' Event
Jin Jian
Assist: Xiaohan L.
30'
Yan Tianyi

AI Match Summary

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai in this League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
33%
Draws
27%
Ganzhou Ruishi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shanxi Chongde Ronghai lately — more wins on the board than Ganzhou Ruishi.
  • Model gives Shanxi Chongde Ronghai a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 68%
Ganzhou Ruishi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Ganzhou Ruishi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2025 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Ganzhou Ruishi
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Ganzhou Ruishi
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 League Two
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Compare

Top Goalscorer Jin Jian
1 Goals
Assists Leader Li Diantong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ganzhou Ruishi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 50 / 100
Ganzhou Ruishi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Ganzhou Ruishi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ganzhou Ruishi has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai VS Ganzhou Ruishi
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%