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Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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League Two Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass, Taiyuan
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Match Events

41' Event
Kurban Eysajan
41' Event
Kurban Eysajan
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Cheng Yi In: Xu Kunxing
Out: Cheng Yi

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Shanxi Chongde Ronghai and Nantong Haimen finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
35%
Draws
42%
Nantong Haimen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nantong Haimen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shanxi Chongde Ronghai come out ahead of Nantong Haimen on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 24%
Nantong Haimen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Nantong Haimen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 13
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen
2:0
May 4, 2026 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Nantong Haimen
1:0
May 25, 2025 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
7:0
Jun 30, 2024 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurban Eysajan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chen Xiangyu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nantong Haimen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 33 / 100
Nantong Haimen 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Nantong Haimen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantong Haimen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nantong Haimen let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai VS Nantong Haimen
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

(Home)
06 Oct
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
22 Aug
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
15 Aug
Qingdao Red Lions
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Page 1 of 6

Nantong Haimen

(Away)
07 Oct
Nantong Haimen
2 : 0
Xiamen Feilu
18 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 2
Nantong Haimen
12 Sept
Nantong Haimen
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng B
22 Aug
Nantong Haimen
2 : 2
Shandong Taishan B
19 Aug
Nantong Haimen
1 : 1
Qingdao Red Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)