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Shatin U22 vs Kitchee U22 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League U22
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cheung Y.
40' Event
Li Siu-Hin
49' Event
Li Siu-Hin

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U22 game between Shatin U22 and Kitchee U22 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitchee U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shatin U22
25%
Draws
35%
Kitchee U22
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Shatin U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Kitchee U22 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kitchee U22's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Shatin U22 Clean Sheet 16%
Kitchee U22 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shatin U22 Kitchee U22
Matches Played 2 3
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 0
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Premier League U22
Shatin U22 vs Kitchee U22
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shatin U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Otubu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Kitchee U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Li Siu-Hin
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cheung Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shatin U22 28 / 100
Kitchee U22 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shatin U22 Kitchee U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchee U22 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shatin U22 scored in 100% of their last 2 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kitchee U22's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 3 matches.

Shatin U22 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shatin U22 VS Kitchee U22
0.67 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.33
33% Over 1.5 67%
33% Over 2.5 33%
33% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Shatin U22

(Home)
28 Sept
Shatin U22
1 : 3
Kitchee U22
16 Sept
Shatin U22
1 : 0
Southern District U22

Kitchee U22

(Away)
07 Oct
Kitchee U22
1 : 0
Hong Kong FC U22
28 Sept
Shatin U22
1 : 3
Kitchee U22
09 Sept
Eastern AA U22
0 : 2
Kitchee U22