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Shatin vs Pegasus

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Shatin and Pegasus finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Shatin
15%
Draws
64%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Shatin haven't matched Pegasus's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Shatin Clean Sheet 10%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shatin Pegasus
Matches Played 24 37
Wins 3 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2010 Premier League
Pegasus vs Shatin
1:0
Jan 23, 2010 Premier League
Shatin vs Pegasus
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shatin 30 / 100
Pegasus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shatin Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pegasus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shatin found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

Pegasus let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shatin remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shatin VS Pegasus
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shatin

(Home)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3
Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
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Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
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