Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026

Sheffield Utd U21

2 - 1

Derby U21

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Asante-Boakye M.

55'

McAndrew N.

(Penalty)

81'

Giggs Z.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sheffield Utd U21 in this Premier League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Sheffield Utd U21

20%

Draws

40%

Derby U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Sheffield Utd U21 have won more games recently than Derby U21.
40% — that's where the model lands on Sheffield Utd U21 taking it.
Sheffield Utd U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sheffield Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%

Sheffield Utd U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sheffield Utd U21	Derby U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	8
Draws	7	8
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1.77	1.7
Goals Conceded	1.47	2.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.31	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Premier League Cup

Derby U21 vs Sheffield Utd U21

1:2

Sep 12, 2025 Premier League Cup

Sheffield Utd U21 vs Derby U21

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asante-Boakye M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Giggs Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.78

Avg xA / game 1.16

Derby U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd U21 83 / 100

Derby U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sheffield Utd U21 Derby U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Utd U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheffield Utd U21 scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Derby U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sheffield Utd U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd U21 VS Derby U21

1.5 Goals Scored 1.63

1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd U21

(Home)

25 Sept

Barnsley U21

0 : 2

Sheffield Utd U21

22 Sept

Charlton U21

3 : 1

Sheffield Utd U21

14 Sept

Sheffield Utd U21

1 : 1

Cardiff U21

01 Sept

Bristol City U21

3 : 1

Sheffield Utd U21

25 Aug

Sheffield Utd U21

3 : 1

West Ham U21

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Derby U21

(Away)

18 Sept

Burnley U21

4 : 1

Derby U21

11 Sept

Derby U21

1 : 3

Tottenham U21

08 Sept

Gateshead

1 : 3

Derby U21

31 Aug

Derby U21

4 : 4

West Brom U21

24 Aug

Reading U21

1 : 3

Derby U21

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