Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheffield Utd U21 vs Derby U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Asante-Boakye M.
55' Event
McAndrew N.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Giggs Z.

AI Match Summary

Sheffield Utd U21 in this Premier League Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sheffield Utd U21
40%
Draws
29%
Derby U21
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheffield Utd U21 have won more games recently than Derby U21.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sheffield Utd U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sheffield Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Sheffield Utd U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Utd U21 Derby U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Premier League Cup
Derby U21 vs Sheffield Utd U21
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League Cup
Sheffield Utd U21 vs Derby U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asante-Boakye M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giggs Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Derby U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Utd U21 31 / 100
Derby U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Utd U21 Derby U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheffield Utd U21 scored in 97% of their last 31 games.

Derby U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sheffield Utd U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Utd U21 VS Derby U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Utd U21

(Home)
27 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 3
Norwich U21
21 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
2 : 2
Swansea U21
13 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
1 : 2
Bristol City U21
31 Mar
Colchester U21
2 : 4
Sheffield Utd U21
27 Mar
Barnsley U21
2 : 2
Sheffield Utd U21
Page 1 of 7

Derby U21

(Away)
27 Apr
Brentford U21
2 : 0
Derby U21
13 Apr
Reading U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1
Sunderland U21
03 Apr
Derby U21
1 : 0
Manchester City U21
20 Mar
Derby U21
1 : 0
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Reading U21650110:315
2Bournemouth U21632115:1011
3Hull City U21620412:126
4Birmingham U2160245:172
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheffield Utd U21660014:718
2Stoke City U21613210:126
3Derby U21612315:125
4Bristol City U21611410:184
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipswich U21641112:413
2Charlton U2163129:1410
3Leicester U21620411:96
4Preston U2161236:115
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watford U21631212:1010
2Blackburn U21622210:88
3Leyton Orient U21622211:128
4Coventry U2161327:106
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Brom U21641113:1013
2Brentford U21640216:512
3Exeter U2162134:77
4Luton U2161058:193
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley U21640211:1012
2QPR U21631211:910
3Cardiff U21621315:127
4Stockport U21620411:176
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nottingham U21651010:316
2Swansea U21631214:910
3Wolves U2162139:117
4Millwall U2160157:171
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester U21631215:1210
2Sunderland U21631213:1010
3Bromley U2163037:119
4Norwich U21612310:125
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)