Sport Picks
Sheffield Utd vs Derby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Bramall Lane, Sheffield 
AI Match Summary
Sheffield Utd host Derby in the Championship. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Derby have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Sheffield Utd have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Sheffield Utd slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back Sheffield Utd to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sheffield Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sheffield Utd's way, sitting at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sheffield Utd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheffield Utd | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sheffield Utd found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Derby conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Derby registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sheffield Utd
(Home)Derby
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 6 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 4 |
