Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheffield Wed vs AFC Wimbledon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Hillsborough, Sheffield
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheffield Wed host AFC Wimbledon in the League One. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sheffield Wed have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against AFC Wimbledon's 0.83 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Sheffield Wed slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2022, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.81) back Sheffield Wed to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sheffield Wed
35%
Draws
23%
AFC Wimbledon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sheffield Wed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Wimbledon have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Sheffield Wed are scoring more at 1.11.
  • Model gives Sheffield Wed a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sheffield Wed Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Wed AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.11 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 League One
Sheffield Wed vs AFC Wimbledon
2:1
Oct 16, 2021 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Sheffield Wed
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Wed 67 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Wed AFC Wimbledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Wed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Sheffield Wed went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AFC Wimbledon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Sheffield Wed scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Wed VS AFC Wimbledon
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Wed

(Home)
10 Oct
Huddersfield
2 : 2
Sheffield Wed
06 Oct
Sheffield Wed
2 : 0
Sunderland U21
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
12 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Wigan
Page 1 of 6

AFC Wimbledon

(Away)
10 Oct
Plymouth
2 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
06 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1
Barnet
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0
Doncaster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Bradford City 9 5 2 2 8:5 17
3 Stockport County 9 5 1 3 20:11 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Cambridge Utd 9 4 4 1 14:11 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22:11 15
7 Sheffield Wed 8 4 3 1 15:8 15
8 Oxford Utd 7 4 2 1 15:8 14
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7:10 12
12 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13:11 11
13 Luton 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
14 Mansfield 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
20 Peterborough 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9:15 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)