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Sheffield Wed vs Bolton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup Hillsborough, Sheffield
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Famewo A.
56'
Gray H.
56'
Simons X.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sheffield Wed
20%
Draws
28%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sheffield Wed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sheffield Wed a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Bolton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sheffield Wed, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sheffield Wed Clean Sheet 68%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Wed Bolton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Sheffield Wed vs Bolton
1:0
Aug 13, 2025 EFL Cup
Bolton vs Sheffield Wed
3:4
Mar 17, 2023 League One
Sheffield Wed vs Bolton
1:1
Aug 20, 2022 League One
Bolton vs Sheffield Wed
0:2
Apr 9, 2022 League One
Bolton vs Sheffield Wed
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Wed Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bolton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Wed 95 / 100
Bolton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Wed Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Wed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sheffield Wed remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bolton conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bolton's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Wed VS Bolton
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Wed

(Home)
06 Oct
Sheffield Wed
2 : 0
Sunderland U21
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
12 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Wigan
05 Sept
Peterborough
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
Page 1 of 6

Bolton

(Away)
20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4
Bolton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2
Bolton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -