Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheffield Wed vs Bolton

England England

EFL Cup Hillsborough, Sheffield
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Famewo A.
56'
Gray H.
56'
Simons X.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sheffield Wed
35%
Draws
32%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Bolton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Bolton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sheffield Wed, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sheffield Wed Clean Sheet 13%
Bolton Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheffield Wed Bolton
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 15
Draws 6 11
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.52 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Sheffield Wed vs Bolton
1:0
Aug 13, 2025 EFL Cup
Bolton vs Sheffield Wed
3:4
Mar 17, 2023 League One
Sheffield Wed vs Bolton
1:1
Aug 20, 2022 League One
Bolton vs Sheffield Wed
0:2
Apr 9, 2022 League One
Bolton vs Sheffield Wed
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheffield Wed Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bolton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheffield Wed 31 / 100
Bolton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheffield Wed Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bolton conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Sheffield Wed went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sheffield Wed's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sheffield Wed VS Bolton
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheffield Wed

(Home)
08 Aug
Sheffield Wed
1 : 0
Bolton
01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0
Sheffield Wed
01 Aug
Accrington
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed
18 Jul
Sheffield Wed
3 : 2
Preston
14 Jul
Hallam
0 : 0
Sheffield Wed
Page 1 of 6

Bolton

(Away)
08 Aug
Sheffield Wed
1 : 0
Bolton
01 Aug
Bolton
1 : 0
NAC Breda
28 Jul
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Bolton
25 Jul
Bolton
0 : 0
Everton
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
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Leeds -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
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1/32-finals
Walsall -
Leyton Orient -
Ipswich -
Leicester -
Cardiff -
Norwich -
Stevenage -
Reading -
Cambridge Utd -
Millwall -
Birmingham -
Brentford -
Southampton -
West Ham -
Watford -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
AFC Wimbledon -
Plymouth -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
Luton -
Tottenham -
Charlton -
Newcastle Utd -
West Brom -
Blackburn -
Sheffield Utd -
Nottingham -
Leeds -
Doncaster -
Middlesbrough -
Barnsley -
Crewe -
Preston -
Everton -
Stoke City -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed -
Wolves -
Blackpool -
Lincoln City -
Fleetwood Town -
Shrewsbury -
Bradford City -
Burnley -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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