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Sheger Ketema FC vs Hawassa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC host Hawassa in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Hawassa have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Sheger Ketema FC have conceded 0.59 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Sheger Ketema FC have won 0 to Hawassa's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.63) point toward Sheger Ketema FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sheger Ketema FC
35%
Draws
15%
Hawassa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sheger Ketema FC lately — more wins on the board than Hawassa.
  • Win probability leans Sheger Ketema FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 20%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheger Ketema FC Hawassa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 15 13
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sheger Ketema FC
1:1
Dec 25, 2025 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Hawassa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheger Ketema FC 58 / 100
Hawassa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheger Ketema FC Hawassa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheger Ketema FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheger Ketema FC's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hawassa conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Sheger Ketema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheger Ketema FC VS Hawassa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheger Ketema FC

(Home)
20 Oct
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
16 Oct
Adama City
0 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
11 Oct
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2
Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0
Mechal SC
Page 1 of 6

Hawassa

(Away)
22 Oct
Hawassa
1 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
17 Oct
Hawassa
1 : 1
Ethiopian Insurance
11 Oct
Hawassa
0 : 1
Mechal SC
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Bahir Dar Kenema 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Mechal SC 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
5 Halaba Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Adama City 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
8 Hadiya Hossana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Ethio Electric S.C. 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
10 Sheger Ketema FC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
11 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
12 St. Georges 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
13 Hawassa 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 Fasil Kenema 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
15 Welayta Dicha 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
16 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
17 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)