Sport Picks
Sheger Ketema FC vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Sheger Ketema FC host Negele Arsi Ketema FC in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sheger Ketema FC at 0.83 goals for, 0.59 against; Negele Arsi Ketema FC at 1 for, 0.8 against. Past meetings favor Sheger Ketema FC slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.75 - 0.56) back Negele Arsi Ketema FC to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sheger Ketema FC haven't matched Negele Arsi Ketema FC's recent run of results.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Sheger Ketema FC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheger Ketema FC | Negele Arsi Ketema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 15 | 13 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sheger Ketema FC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Sheger Ketema FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sheger Ketema FC
(Home)Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Halaba Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Adama City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Sheger Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Mechal SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 12 | Fasil Kenema | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | St. Georges | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Hawassa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Hadiya Hossana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
