Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shelbourne vs College Corinthians

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013 Tolka Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kelly D.

AI Match Summary

Shelbourne in this FAI Cup 2013 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shelbourne
20%
Draws
44%
College Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: College Corinthians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • College Corinthians haven't matched Shelbourne's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Shelbourne taking it.
  • Shelbourne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shelbourne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 68%
College Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne College Corinthians
Matches Played 32 15
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 2
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2013 FAI Cup
Shelbourne vs College Corinthians
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

College Corinthians Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 95 / 100
College Corinthians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne College Corinthians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shelbourne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

College Corinthians has conceded goals in 87% of their last 15 outings.

Recent resilience: Shelbourne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: College Corinthians registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS College Corinthians
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 7

College Corinthians

(Away)
15 Aug
College Corinthians
0 : 3
Drogheda
18 Jul
Bangor Celtic
4 : 5
College Corinthians
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2
Bangor Celtic
18 May
College Corinthians
4 : 5
Cobh Wanderers
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3