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Shelbourne vs Galway United

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tolka Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Caffrey E.
57' Event
Wood H.
Assist: Martin J.
59'
Devitt L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shelbourne
33%
Draws
27%
Galway United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shelbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shelbourne have won more games recently than Galway United.
  • Win probability leans Shelbourne's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 16%
Galway United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne Galway United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Galway United
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Galway United
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Galway United
1:0
Jun 27, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Shelbourne
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Galway United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierrot F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 39 / 100
Galway United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne Galway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Galway United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shelbourne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS Galway United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2
Kalju
17 Jul
Kerry
3 : 2
Shelbourne
07 Jul
Shelbourne
1 : 1
Celtic
03 Jul
Shelbourne
2 : 1
Dundalk
27 Jun
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2
Shelbourne
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Galway United

(Away)
17 Jul
Galway United
4 : 0
Crumlin Utd
11 Jul
Galway United
3 : 2
Sligo Rovers
03 Jul
St. Patricks
3 : 0
Galway United
26 Jun
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Galway United
19 Jun
Galway United
2 : 1
Derry City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks24126639:2042
4Dundalk2498738:3635
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United23761032:3927
8Drogheda24671129:4125
9Waterford24491133:4721
10Sligo Rovers24551420:4020
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)