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Shelbourne vs Waterford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tolka Park, Dublin
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shelbourne host Waterford in the Premier Division. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Shelbourne at 1.4 goals for, 1.53 against; Waterford at 1.61 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Shelbourne slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.63, favoring Waterford. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Shelbourne
35%
Draws
40%
Waterford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Waterford have won more games recently than Shelbourne.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 14%
Waterford Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shelbourne Waterford
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Shelbourne
1:0
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Waterford
2:1
Feb 6, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Shelbourne
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Waterford
2:1
Jun 23, 2025 Premier Division
Waterford vs Shelbourne
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shelbourne 35 / 100
Waterford 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shelbourne Waterford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Waterford has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Shelbourne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shelbourne VS Waterford
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shelbourne

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
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Waterford

(Away)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)