Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Foolad Novin Ahvaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Yahyazadeh S.
35' Event
Khaledi O.
45' Event
Khaledi O.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Shenavarsazi Qeshm and Foolad Novin Ahvaz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
35%
Draws
26%
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Foolad Novin Ahvaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shenavarsazi Qeshm are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 20%
Foolad Novin Ahvaz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenavarsazi Qeshm Foolad Novin Ahvaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.76 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Top Goalscorer Yahyazadeh S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kheradnia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Foolad Novin Ahvaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaledi O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenavarsazi Qeshm 58 / 100
Foolad Novin Ahvaz 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Foolad Novin Ahvaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shenavarsazi Qeshm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Foolad Novin Ahvaz conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shenavarsazi Qeshm VS Foolad Novin Ahvaz
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

(Home)
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

Foolad Novin Ahvaz

(Away)
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
0 : 1
Niroye Zamini
08 May
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
1 : 0
Meshki Pooshan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)