Sport Picks
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Naft Gachsaran Prediction & H2H Stats
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Motahari A.
10'
10'
Jahani M.
56'
56'
Dehghani H.
AI Match Summary
Shenavarsazi Qeshm in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Not much separates Shenavarsazi Qeshm and Naft Gachsaran on recent form.
- Shenavarsazi Qeshm are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | Naft Gachsaran |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Naft Gachsaran
4:2
Nov 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare
Top Goalscorer Motahari A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jahani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Naft Gachsaran Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaymand M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tahami S. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shenavarsazi Qeshm 86 / 100
Naft Gachsaran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Naft Gachsaran
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shenavarsazi Qeshm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Shenavarsazi Qeshm went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Naft Gachsaran let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Shenavarsazi Qeshm scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Shenavarsazi Qeshm VS Naft Gachsaran
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
(Home) 27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0 Havadar SC
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2 Foolad Novin Ahvaz
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0 Havadar SC
03 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 3 Mes Shahr Babak
21 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
4 : 2 Naft Gachsaran
16 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0 Damash Gilan
Page 1 of 3
Naft Gachsaran
(Away) 28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2 Naft Gachsaran
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2 Naft Gachsaran
21 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
4 : 2 Naft Gachsaran
09 Jun
Mes Kerman
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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