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Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Saipa

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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Match Events

30' Event
Mirzaeian R.
62' Event
Mehrabizadeh S.
69' Event
Dehghani H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Shenavarsazi Qeshm and Saipa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saipa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
20%
Draws
38%
Saipa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saipa come out ahead of Shenavarsazi Qeshm on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Shenavarsazi Qeshm taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 20%
Saipa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenavarsazi Qeshm Saipa
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Saipa
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Saipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirzaeian R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehrabizadeh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenavarsazi Qeshm 42 / 100
Saipa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Saipa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Saipa conceded in 39% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shenavarsazi Qeshm VS Saipa
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619