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Shenzhen 2028 vs Guangzhou Dandelion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base, Shenzhen
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Muhta M.
Assist: Dilyar Alamas
34' Event
Jiang W.
Assist: Wang Ziyang
46'
Sub
Lu J. In: Li Haoyu
Out: Lu J.

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen 2028 in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shenzhen 2028.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shenzhen 2028
30%
Draws
39%
Guangzhou Dandelion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guangzhou Dandelion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Shenzhen 2028 have won more games recently than Guangzhou Dandelion.
  • Win probability leans Shenzhen 2028's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Shenzhen 2028 Clean Sheet 20%
Guangzhou Dandelion Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen 2028 Guangzhou Dandelion
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Guangzhou Dandelion
3:1
Apr 29, 2026 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shenzhen 2028
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shenzhen 2028
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen 2028 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jiang W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lu C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guangzhou Dandelion Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen 2028 36 / 100
Guangzhou Dandelion 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen 2028 Guangzhou Dandelion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen 2028's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Guangzhou Dandelion let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Shenzhen 2028 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen 2028 VS Guangzhou Dandelion
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenzhen 2028

(Home)
11 Oct
Shanghai Port B
2 : 1
Shenzhen 2028
06 Oct
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 2
Shandong Taishan B
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
23 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 1
Hubei Istar
Page 1 of 6

Guangzhou Dandelion

(Away)
06 Oct
Changchun Xidu
1 : 1
Guangzhou Dandelion
19 Sept
Dalian Yingbo B
1 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
13 Sept
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
23 Aug
Guangzhou Dandelion
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
16 Aug
Ganzhou Ruishi
1 : 3
Guangzhou Dandelion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)