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Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun Yatai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Longhua sports center stadium, Shenzhen
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sun Xipeng
43'
Tudi Dilyimit
46'
Sub
Lin Zefeng In: Chen Yuhao
Out: Lin Zefeng

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Shenzhen Juniors and Changchun Yatai finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Shenzhen Juniors
35%
Draws
28%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shenzhen Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shenzhen Juniors come out ahead of Changchun Yatai on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Shenzhen Juniors Clean Sheet 19%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Juniors Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League One
Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun Yatai
1:1
May 24, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Su Yuliang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhamet
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Juniors 31 / 100
Changchun Yatai 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Juniors Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shenzhen Juniors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Shenzhen Juniors found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shenzhen Juniors has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Juniors VS Changchun Yatai
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shenzhen Juniors

(Home)
07 Oct
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 4
Guangdong GZ-Power
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
13 Sept
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0 : 0
Shenzhen Juniors
06 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
5 : 1
Meizhou Hakka
29 Aug
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 2
Shenzhen Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Changchun Yatai

(Away)
10 Oct
Dalian Kun City
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Wuxi Wugou 26 10 6 10 41:31 36
7 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 26 9 8 9 23:25 35
9 Changchun Yatai 26 10 5 11 39:42 31
10 Dalian Kun City 26 7 9 10 31:38 30
11 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 26 7 10 9 30:35 28
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 26 7 4 15 25:53 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)