Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:35 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng host Qingdao West Coast in the Super League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at 1.5 goals for, 1.38 against; Qingdao West Coast at 2 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Qingdao West Coast slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.69) point toward Qingdao West Coast. Qingdao West Coast in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
33%
Draws
40%
Qingdao West Coast
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Qingdao West Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Qingdao West Coast have won more games recently than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Qingdao West Coast taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Qingdao West Coast have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 13%
Qingdao West Coast Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Qingdao West Coast
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 11
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast
1:2
May 6, 2025 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:2
May 12, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 / 100
Qingdao West Coast 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Qingdao West Coast

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QWC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao West Coast let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Qingdao West Coast
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng17132237:1641
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1776421:1927
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Yunnan Yukun1773731:2924
5Qingdao West Coast1759322:2524
6Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
7Shandong Taishan1783630:2821
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
10Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng17521022:3117
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348