Sport Picks
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Bao'an Stadium, Shenzhen 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sub
Owusu-Sekyere D. In: Li Ning
Out: Owusu-Sekyere D.
46'
46'
Sub
Xiang Yuwang In: Cimpanu G.
Out: Xiang Yuwang
63'
63'
Jiang Zhipeng
Assist: Li Ning
AI Match Summary
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Chongqing Tonglianglong's 1.11.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Shenzhen Xinpengcheng taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 68%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare
Top Goalscorer Jiang Zhipeng
1 Goals Assists Leader Wesley Moraes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 68 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Chongqing Tonglianglong
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Chongqing Tonglianglong conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(Home) 09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
02 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
11 Jul
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 0 Qingdao West Coast
Page 1 of 3
Chongqing Tonglianglong
(Away) 06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3 Shanghai Shenhua
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1 Dalian Yingbo
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
02 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
25 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
