Sport Picks
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Bao'an Stadium, Shenzhen 
Match Events
16'
16'
Yu Rui
32'
32'
Shinar Yeljan
39'
39'
Chow T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at 1.38 per game, Henan Songshan Longmen at 1.31.
- Win probability leans Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 16%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Henan Songshan Longmen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen
2:2
May 15, 2026 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:0
Aug 8, 2025 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4:1
Apr 5, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:3
Jul 13, 2024 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan Songshan Longmen
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare
Top Goalscorer Wesley Moraes
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Henan Songshan Longmen Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruno Nazario
1 Goals Assists Leader Yin Congyao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 41 / 100
Henan Songshan Longmen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Henan Songshan Longmen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Henan Songshan Longmen conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Henan Songshan Longmen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(Home) 09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
02 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
11 Jul
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 0 Qingdao West Coast
Page 1 of 3
Henan Songshan Longmen
(Away) 09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1 Henan Songshan Longmen
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0 Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4 Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1 Henan Songshan Longmen
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4 Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1 Henan Songshan Longmen
26 Jul
Shandong Taishan
1 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51:30 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38:42 | 40 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54:51 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31:32 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52:46 | 31 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 13 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:32 | 25 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
