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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Yunnan Yukun

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Xu Xin
Assist: Ye Chugui
26' Event
Caio Vinicius
Assist: Ionita II A.
33'
Yang Yiming

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng host Yunnan Yukun in the Super League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Yunnan Yukun have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have won 0 to Yunnan Yukun's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.69, favoring Yunnan Yukun. Yunnan Yukun in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
20%
Draws
38%
Yunnan Yukun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Yunnan Yukun has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 13%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Yunnan Yukun
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
3:4
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Yunnan Yukun
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Kartsev E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Yunnan Yukun Compare

Top Goalscorer Taty Maritu O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Xu Xin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 40 / 100
Yunnan Yukun 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Yunnan Yukun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Yunnan Yukun let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Yunnan Yukun lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Yunnan Yukun
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng17132237:1641
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1776421:1927
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1759322:2524
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
10Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng17521022:3117
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348