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Shepshed vs Sheffield FC

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shepshed play Sheffield FC in the Club Friendly 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shepshed averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Sheffield FC averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. In past meetings, Shepshed won 1, Sheffield FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 24, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Shepshed and 2.06 for Sheffield FC. This points to a Sheffield FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Shepshed
20%
Draws
46%
Sheffield FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sheffield FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Shepshed picked up more points recently compared to Sheffield FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Shepshed Clean Sheet 10%
Sheffield FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shepshed Sheffield FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.89 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Shepshed vs Sheffield FC
3:0
Sep 13, 2014 FA Cup
Sheffield FC vs Shepshed
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shepshed Compare

Top Goalscorer Morris R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melbourne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sheffield FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shepshed 33 / 100
Sheffield FC 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shepshed Sheffield FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sheffield FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shepshed attacking → ← attacking Sheffield FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shepshed scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Sheffield FC let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Shepshed went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sheffield FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 29
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00