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Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Iskra Ribnita

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 play Iskra Ribnita in the Liga 1 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sheriff Tiraspol 2 averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Iskra Ribnita averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Sheriff Tiraspol 2 won 3, Iskra Ribnita won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.37 for Sheriff Tiraspol 2 and 1.48 for Iskra Ribnita. This points to a Sheriff Tiraspol 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
27%
Draws
34%
Iskra Ribnita
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol 2 picked up more points recently compared to Iskra Ribnita.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.37 vs 1.48 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Iskra Ribnita
Matches Played 35 38
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Iskra Ribnita
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Iskra Ribnita
3:0
Dec 8, 2023 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Iskra Ribnita
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
1:1
Sep 15, 2023 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Iskra Ribnita
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 38 / 100
Iskra Ribnita 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Iskra Ribnita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sheriff Tiraspol 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 attacking → ← attacking Iskra Ribnita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Iskra Ribnita let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Iskra Ribnita lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 60
0.86 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sheriff Tiraspol 2761028:519
2Olimp Comrat750217:815
3Speranis741210:613
4FCM Ungheni732212:1511
5Falesti731311:1710
6Iskra Ribnita730410:109
7Real Succes711511:174
8Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol70070:210