Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Klas D.
20'
Botnari I.
35' Event
Sapata

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol in this Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sheriff Tiraspol
15%
Draws
0%
CSF Balti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sheriff Tiraspol lately — more wins on the board than CSF Balti.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sheriff Tiraspol taking it.
  • Regular Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol CSF Balti
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.66 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
7:0
Aug 2, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:5
Apr 18, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Klas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sapata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

CSF Balti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
CSF Balti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol CSF Balti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSF Balti let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

CSF Balti's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sheriff Tiraspol found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS CSF Balti
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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CSF Balti

(Away)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 0
CSF Balti
22 Aug
CSF Balti
0 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrocub Hincesti 10 8 1 1 20:3 40
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 10 7 2 1 14:5 34
3 Zimbru Chisinau 10 5 3 2 18:11 32
4 Milsami 10 2 3 5 5:13 19
5 CSF Balti 10 2 2 6 4:15 16
6 Dacia Buiucani 10 0 1 9 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)