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Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC Congaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Moldovan Cup. This has Sheriff Tiraspol written all over it on paper. Sheriff Tiraspol have averaged 1.94 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against FC Congaz's 1 scored and 4 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.56) point toward Sheriff Tiraspol. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Sheriff Tiraspol
15%
Draws
14%
FC Congaz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • FC Congaz haven't matched Sheriff Tiraspol's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sheriff Tiraspol a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 15%
FC Congaz Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol FC Congaz
Matches Played 36 6
Wins 23 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.94 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 84 / 100
FC Congaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol FC Congaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Congaz conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sheriff Tiraspol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Difficult form: FC Congaz registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS FC Congaz
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
24 Oct
Politehnica UTM
0 : 2
Sheriff Tiraspol
17 Oct
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0
Real Sireti
10 Oct
Dacia Buiucani
2 : 5
Sheriff Tiraspol
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Page 1 of 8

FC Congaz

(Away)
02 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 2
FC Congaz
30 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
FC Congaz
24 Sept
FC Congaz
:
Speranis
29 Aug
FC Congaz
1 : 9
Saksan
24 Aug
FC Congaz
0 : 6
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CSF Balti -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
Tarigrad 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Stauceni 1
FC Chisinau 2
Milsami -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 9
Olimp Comrat 0
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
National Ialoveni 1
FC Congaz 2
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Floresti 0
Edinet 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Oguzsport 2
Vulturii Cutezatori 1
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Sparta Selemet 0
Univer Comrat 3
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Victoria 5
Falesti 3
1/8-finals
CSF Balti -
Iskra Ribnita -
Politehnica UTM -
FC Chisinau -
Milsami -
FCM Ungheni -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
FC Congaz -
Petrocub Hincesti -
Edinet -
Zimbru Chisinau -
Oguzsport -
Dacia Buiucani -
Univer Comrat -
Real Sireti -
Victoria -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -