Sport Picks

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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Europe Europe

Europa League Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sheriff Tiraspol at 1.5 goals for, 0.25 against; Maccabi Tel Aviv at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.88, favoring Sheriff Tiraspol. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sheriff Tiraspol
20%
Draws
38%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sheriff Tiraspol taking it.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 42 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Maccabi Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sheriff Tiraspol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Maccabi Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Maccabi Tel Aviv has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
16 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Aluminij
04 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Sheriff Tiraspol
28 Jun
Sheriff Tiraspol
3 : 0
Real Sireti
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Away)
16 Jul
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
03 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
30 Jun
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 0
Alashkert
26 May
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hammarby-
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Qarabag Agdam6
Vestri0
CSKA Sofia5
Derry City3
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Ferencvaros5
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Hajduk Split3
Zilina2
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Sheriff Tiraspol1
Aluminij0
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