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Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Merani Martvili Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Wed, Oct 26, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shevardeni Tbilisi host Merani Martvili in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Shevardeni Tbilisi at 1.14 goals for, 1.43 against; Merani Martvili at 1.13 for, 1.19 against. Head-to-head, Shevardeni Tbilisi have won 0 to Merani Martvili's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 0.99, favoring Merani Martvili. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Shevardeni Tbilisi
15%
Draws
51%
Merani Martvili
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Martvili

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merani Martvili come out ahead of Shevardeni Tbilisi on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Shevardeni Tbilisi taking it.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Shevardeni Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shevardeni Tbilisi Merani Martvili
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Merani Martvili
0:0
Sep 4, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
0:0
May 22, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Merani Martvili
0:1
Apr 6, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
4:0
Oct 31, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shevardeni Tbilisi 67 / 100
Merani Martvili 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shevardeni Tbilisi Merani Martvili

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shevardeni Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shevardeni Tbilisi scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Merani Martvili has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Merani Martvili has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merani Martvili
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shevardeni Tbilisi

(Home)
22 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
2 : 3
Spaeri
05 May
Shukura
2 : 1
Shevardeni Tbilisi
28 Apr
Samtredia
1 : 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi
Page 1 of 2

Merani Martvili

(Away)
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shukura 28 19 3 6 52:23 60
2 Spaeri 28 15 6 7 57:35 51
3 Samtredia 28 14 6 8 43:28 48
4 Merani Martvili 28 12 6 10 55:53 42
5 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 10 6 12 38:36 36
6 Merani Tbilisi 28 10 4 14 34:56 34
7 FC Rustavi 28 6 5 17 34:54 23
8 WIT Georgia 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
9 FC Zugdidi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shevardeni Tbilisi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Relegation)