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Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

China China

League One 2025 Yutong International Sports Center
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Huang Wei
41'
Gonzalez E.
45'
You Wenjie

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025 game between Shijiazhuang Gongfu and Guangxi Pingguo Haliao finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shijiazhuang Gongfu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
17%
Draws
13%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shijiazhuang Gongfu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Shijiazhuang Gongfu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Shijiazhuang Gongfu taking it.
  • Regular League One 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Clean Sheet 68%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shijiazhuang Gongfu Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 League One
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
1:0
May 10, 2025 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1:4
Aug 24, 2024 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 League One
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
1:1
Sep 13, 2023 League One
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shijiazhuang Gongfu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gao Huaze
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu 77 / 100
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guangxi Pingguo Haliao conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Guangxi Pingguo Haliao registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Shijiazhuang Gongfu VS Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013