Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Match Events

12'

Ange Gla D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shimal host Baku Sporting in the I Liqa. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Baku Sporting have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Shimal have conceded 1.38 and scored 0.25. Head-to-head, Shimal have won 1 to Baku Sporting's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.38) back Baku Sporting to edge this. Baku Sporting in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Shimal

30%

Draws

34%

Baku Sporting

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Baku Sporting has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shimal.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Shimal.
League standings and seasonal metrics in I Liqa provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Shimal Clean Sheet 17%

Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shimal	Baku Sporting
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	14
Draws	5	11
Losses	19	5
Goals Scored	0.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 I Liqa

Shimal vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Dec 17, 2025 I Liqa

Shimal vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Sep 25, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Shimal

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ange Gla D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Baku Sporting Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 36 / 100

Baku Sporting 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shimal Baku Sporting

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimal scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Baku Sporting let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Shimal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Baku Sporting lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS Baku Sporting

0.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18