Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Shimal

1 - 1

MOIK Baku

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Ange Gla D.

85'

Faracov S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Shimal

28%

Draws

22%

MOIK Baku

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

MOIK Baku have won more games recently than Shimal.
Win probability leans Shimal's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Shimal Clean Sheet 19%

MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shimal	MOIK Baku
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	10
Draws	5	7
Losses	19	14
Goals Scored	0.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 I Liqa

Shimal vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Dec 10, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Shimal

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Sep 19, 2025 I Liqa

Shimal vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Oct 29, 2024 Azerbaijan Cup

MOIK Baku vs Shimal

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ange Gla D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Faracov S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 49 / 100

MOIK Baku 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shimal MOIK Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MOIK Baku conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Shimal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: MOIK Baku registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS MOIK Baku

0.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18