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Shimal vs Zaqatala PFK Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Shimal Logo

Shimal

0 - 0
FT
Zaqatala PFK Logo

Zaqatala PFK

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2025/2026 game between Shimal and Zaqatala PFK finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shimal
20%
Draws
40%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zaqatala PFK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shimal's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Shimal Clean Sheet 19%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimal Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Zaqatala PFK
0:0
Mar 5, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Shimal
3:4
Nov 26, 2025 I Liqa
Shimal vs Zaqatala PFK
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 36 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimal Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Zaqatala PFK conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Shimal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shimal's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS Zaqatala PFK
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimal

(Home)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)