Sport Picks
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Chiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka 
Match Events
30'
30'
Matheus Indio
47'
47'
Matsuzaki K.
Assist: Won Du-Jae
63'
63'
Sub
Inoue K. In: Fujii T.
Out: Inoue K.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Shimizu S-Pulse and Chiba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shimizu S-Pulse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shimizu S-Pulse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Shimizu S-Pulse carry the better recent record into this one.
- Shimizu S-Pulse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 68%
Chiba Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shimizu S-Pulse | Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Chiba
2:1
Jul 6, 2024 J2 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Chiba
2:0
Mar 20, 2024 J2 League
Chiba vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:3
Jul 16, 2023 J2 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Chiba
2:2
May 17, 2023 J2 League
Chiba vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shimizu S-Pulse Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsuzaki K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Oh Se-Hun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Chiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Indio
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shimizu S-Pulse 95 / 100
Chiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shimizu S-Pulse Chiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shimizu S-Pulse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shimizu S-Pulse scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Chiba let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Shimizu S-Pulse remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Shimizu S-Pulse VS Chiba
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shimizu S-Pulse
(Home) 07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 FC Tokyo
29 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
Chiba
(Away) 07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0 Chiba
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2 Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2 Chiba
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0 Chiba
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2 Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2 Chiba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
