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Stadium Background

Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Kfar Saba 1928

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Shimshon Tel Aviv averaging 0.8 xG at home and Kfar Saba 1928 producing 0.3 xG on their travels. Kfar Saba 1928 will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Shimshon Tel Aviv to find a way to break them down. The stats favor a low-scoring affair. Backing Under 2.5 goals looks like the smart play here. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Shimshon Tel Aviv
28%
Draws
34%
Kfar Saba 1928
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shimshon Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shimshon Tel Aviv picked up more points recently compared to Kfar Saba 1928.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.32 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 33%
Kfar Saba 1928 Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimshon Tel Aviv Kfar Saba 1928
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

19.02.26 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Kfar Saba 1928
0:0
16.10.25 Liga Alef South
Kfar Saba 1928 vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Shimshon Tel Aviv

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Kfar Saba 1928

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimshon Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
5 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.46

Kfar Saba 1928 Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
2 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Kfar Saba 1928 • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Shimshon Tel Aviv • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Kfar Saba 1928 • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Shimshon Tel Aviv • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimshon Tel Aviv 41 / 100
Kfar Saba 1928 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimshon Tel Aviv Kfar Saba 1928

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shimshon Tel Aviv or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Shimshon Tel Aviv will likely press early to force mistakes.

Shimshon Tel Aviv 59%
Kfar Saba 1928 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Kfar Saba 1928 should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Shimshon Tel Aviv 54%
Kfar Saba 1928 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Shimshon Tel Aviv 51%
Kfar Saba 1928 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Shimshon Tel Aviv to push more players wide.

Shimshon Tel Aviv 56%
Kfar Saba 1928 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Shimshon Tel Aviv 51%
Kfar Saba 1928 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Shimshon Tel Aviv 62%
Kfar Saba 1928 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shimshon Tel Aviv attacking → ← attacking Kfar Saba 1928

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimshon Tel Aviv have scored in 86% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Kfar Saba 1928 concede most goals (47%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 26 shots per game, well above the league median.

Shimshon Tel Aviv are unbeaten in 8 straight matches when scoring first.

Kfar Saba 1928 have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 9 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Shimshon Tel Aviv wants a European spot, while Kfar Saba 1928 is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 31
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.32
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2