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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion Shinnik
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kul R.
21' Event
Kornyushin D.
39' Event
Bozov N.

AI Match Summary

Shinnik Yaroslavl in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
6%
Draws
4%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shinnik Yaroslavl lately — more wins on the board than FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye.
  • Shinnik Yaroslavl are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 3
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
4:1
Aug 16, 2025 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Russian Cup
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare

Top Goalscorer Kornyushin D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kul R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shinnik Yaroslavl 95 / 100
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shinnik Yaroslavl FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Shinnik Yaroslavl went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Shinnik Yaroslavl's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shinnik Yaroslavl VS FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622