Sport Picks
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Khabarovsk
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl 
Match Events
4'
4'
Porokhov I.
12'
12'
Lystsov V.
19'
19'
Sub
Anisimov A. In: Vshivkov V.
Out: Anisimov A.
AI Match Summary
Shinnik Yaroslavl in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- SKA Khabarovsk haven't matched Shinnik Yaroslavl's recent run of results.
- Shinnik Yaroslavl are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | SKA Khabarovsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0
May 12, 2024 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs SKA Khabarovsk
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare
Top Goalscorer Porokhov I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lystsov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
SKA Khabarovsk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shinnik Yaroslavl 77 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shinnik Yaroslavl SKA Khabarovsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SKA Khabarovsk let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Shinnik Yaroslavl stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Shinnik Yaroslavl VS SKA Khabarovsk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(Home) 19 Jul
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Leningradets
12 Jul
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 PFC Sochi
30 Jun
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
16 May
Chelyabinsk
2 : 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
11 May
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Leningradets
12 Jul
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 PFC Sochi
11 May
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Torpedo Moscow
26 Apr
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Apr
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 4
SKA Khabarovsk
(Away) 20 Jul
R. Volgograd
1 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
13 Jul
Chelyabinsk
3 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
04 Jul
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 2 Veles Moscow
30 Jun
PFC Sochi
4 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
16 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0 Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6
20 Jul
R. Volgograd
1 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
13 Jul
Chelyabinsk
3 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
30 Jun
PFC Sochi
4 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 May
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
26 Apr
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)