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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ufa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shinnik Yaroslavl host Ufa in the FNL. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Ufa have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Shinnik Yaroslavl have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Shinnik Yaroslavl slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.88, favoring Shinnik Yaroslavl. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
30%
Draws
31%
Ufa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Shinnik Yaroslavl's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Ufa have produced (0.93).
  • Win probability leans Shinnik Yaroslavl's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 20%
Ufa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Ufa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 16 9
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ufa
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1:0
Oct 15, 2024 Russian Cup
Ufa vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ufa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shinnik Yaroslavl 36 / 100
Ufa 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shinnik Yaroslavl Ufa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shinnik Yaroslavl found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Ufa has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Shinnik Yaroslavl remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Ufa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shinnik Yaroslavl VS Ufa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Home)
18 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
14 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Tekstilshtik
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
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Ufa

(Away)
24 Oct
Ufa
0 : 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Oct
Ufa
2 : 0
Arsenal Tula
11 Oct
PFC Sochi
1 : 0
Ufa
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 15 13 1 1 44:15 40
2 PFC Sochi 15 10 2 3 26:15 32
3 Torpedo Moscow 15 8 4 3 27:12 28
4 Ural 15 8 4 3 25:11 28
5 S. Kostroma 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
6 Veles Moscow 16 8 3 5 20:19 27
7 Ulyanovsk 16 6 3 7 21:22 21
8 Ufa 15 5 6 4 18:15 21
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 14 4 8 2 18:14 20
10 Arsenal Tula 15 5 4 6 19:29 19
11 R. Volgograd 15 5 4 6 23:18 19
12 Chelyabinsk 15 4 3 8 19:26 15
13 Yenisey 15 3 5 7 16:30 14
14 Kamaz 15 3 4 8 19:27 13
15 Leningradets 14 3 4 7 11:25 13
16 Neftekhimik 14 4 0 10 10:21 12
17 SKA Khabarovsk 15 2 4 9 18:28 10
18 Tekstilshtik 15 2 4 9 11:25 10
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