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Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
Shirak Gyumri Logo

Shirak Gyumri

1 - 3
FT
Ararat-Armenia Logo

Ararat-Armenia

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Misakyan R.
18' Event
Mnatsakanyan H.
Own Goal
24' Event
Bueno J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ararat-Armenia in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat-Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Shirak Gyumri
15%
Draws
53%
Ararat-Armenia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ararat-Armenia lately — more wins on the board than Shirak Gyumri.
  • Shirak Gyumri are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ararat-Armenia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 20%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri Ararat-Armenia
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 6 20
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.89 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia
1:3
Apr 20, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia
0:4
Apr 2, 2026 Armenian Cup
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia
0:2
Mar 4, 2026 Armenian Cup
Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak Gyumri
1:0
Dec 1, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak Gyumri
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Top Goalscorer Janoyan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bueno J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franca Carlos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 36 / 100
Ararat-Armenia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri Ararat-Armenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Ararat-Armenia conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Shirak Gyumri's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Shirak Gyumri remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS Ararat-Armenia
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri

(Home)
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

Ararat-Armenia

(Away)
10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Alashkert
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0
Syunik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 9 9 0 0 26:6 27
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Urartu 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
6 Sardarapat 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)