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Shirak Gyumri vs Pyunik Yerevan

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Gyumri City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Ocansey E.
47'
Tarloyan M.
53'
Sub
Manukyan S. In: Sargsyan V.
Out: Manukyan S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Shirak Gyumri and Pyunik Yerevan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pyunik Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shirak Gyumri
20%
Draws
38%
Pyunik Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pyunik Yerevan come out ahead of Shirak Gyumri on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shirak Gyumri's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 19%
Pyunik Yerevan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri Pyunik Yerevan
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Pyunik Yerevan
0:1
Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Pyunik Yerevan
0:0
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri
6:1
Nov 28, 2024 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Pyunik Yerevan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pyunik Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Villela
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 42 / 100
Pyunik Yerevan 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri Pyunik Yerevan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shirak Gyumri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shirak Gyumri found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Pyunik Yerevan has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS Pyunik Yerevan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113