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Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Sub
Mkrtchyan R. In: Janoyan N.
Out: Mkrtchyan R.
54'
Piloyan E.
67'
Sub
Piloyan E. In: Ayvazyan K.
Out: Piloyan E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Shirak Gyumri and Urartu finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shirak Gyumri
33%
Draws
27%
Urartu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Urartu come out ahead of Shirak Gyumri on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shirak Gyumri taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 20%
Urartu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri Urartu
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Shirak Gyumri
5:0
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Urartu
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Premier League
Urartu vs Shirak Gyumri
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 40 / 100
Urartu 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri Urartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Urartu conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Shirak Gyumri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Shirak Gyumri scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS Urartu
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri

(Home)
11 Jul
Shirak Gyumri
5 : 0
Andranik
04 Jul
BKMA
2 : 3
Shirak Gyumri
26 May
Alashkert
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
18 May
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 0
Urartu
08 May
Van
1 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
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Urartu

(Away)
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
14 Jul
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 4
Urartu
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
27 May
Urartu
0 : 5
Noah
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League (Main)