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Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hossana

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Alemayehu E.
88' Event
Darge D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shire Endaselassie
30%
Draws
34%
Hadiya Hossana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shire Endaselassie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hadiya Hossana have won more games recently than Shire Endaselassie.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Shire Endaselassie taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 68%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shire Endaselassie Hadiya Hossana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hossana
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Shire Endaselassie
3:1
May 19, 2025 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Shire Endaselassie
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Hadiya Hossana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shire Endaselassie Compare

Top Goalscorer Darge D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Hadiya Hossana Compare

Top Goalscorer Alemayehu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shire Endaselassie 46 / 100
Hadiya Hossana 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shire Endaselassie Hadiya Hossana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadiya Hossana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Shire Endaselassie remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shire Endaselassie scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Shire Endaselassie VS Hadiya Hossana
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635