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Shizuoka Bonita W vs Ehime W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Nadeshiko League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Miwa R.
49' Event
Yokoyama K.
53' Event
Kishino S.

AI Match Summary

The Nadeshiko League Women game between Shizuoka Bonita W and Ehime W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shizuoka Bonita W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Shizuoka Bonita W
20%
Draws
34%
Ehime W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shizuoka Bonita W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shizuoka Bonita W come out ahead of Ehime W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shizuoka Bonita W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Nadeshiko League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shizuoka Bonita W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shizuoka Bonita W Clean Sheet 20%
Ehime W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shizuoka Bonita W Ehime W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Ehime W
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
Ehime W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
0:4
Sep 14, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Ehime W
3:1
May 10, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Ehime W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
0:4
Jun 22, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Ehime W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shizuoka Bonita W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miwa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yokoyama K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ehime W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shizuoka Bonita W 67 / 100
Ehime W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shizuoka Bonita W Ehime W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shizuoka Bonita W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Shizuoka Bonita W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ehime W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Shizuoka Bonita W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shizuoka Bonita W VS Ehime W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shizuoka Bonita W

(Home)
04 Oct
Okayama Yunogo W
1 : 1
Shizuoka Bonita W
27 Sept
Miyazaki W
1 : 2
Shizuoka Bonita W
19 Sept
Shizuoka Bonita W
0 : 1
Yokohama FC Seagulls W
13 Sept
Orca Kamogawa W
1 : 1
Shizuoka Bonita W
05 Sept
Shizuoka Bonita W
3 : 1
Ehime W
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Ehime W

(Away)
04 Oct
Ehime W
0 : 3
Miyazaki W
27 Sept
AS Harima Albio W
0 : 3
Ehime W
20 Sept
Kunoichi W
2 : 3
Ehime W
12 Sept
Ehime W
0 : 2
VONDS Ichihara W
05 Sept
Shizuoka Bonita W
3 : 1
Ehime W
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