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Shizuoka Bonita W vs Orca Kamogawa W

Japan Japan

Nadeshiko League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kishino S.

AI Match Summary

Shizuoka Bonita W in this Nadeshiko League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shizuoka Bonita W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shizuoka Bonita W
6%
Draws
4%
Orca Kamogawa W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shizuoka Bonita W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shizuoka Bonita W lately — more wins on the board than Orca Kamogawa W.
  • Shizuoka Bonita W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nadeshiko League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Shizuoka Bonita W Clean Sheet 68%
Orca Kamogawa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shizuoka Bonita W Orca Kamogawa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Orca Kamogawa W
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Orca Kamogawa W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
1:0
May 18, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Orca Kamogawa W
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Orca Kamogawa W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Orca Kamogawa W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shizuoka Bonita W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kishino S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Orca Kamogawa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shizuoka Bonita W 95 / 100
Orca Kamogawa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shizuoka Bonita W Orca Kamogawa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shizuoka Bonita W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Orca Kamogawa W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Shizuoka Bonita W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shizuoka Bonita W VS Orca Kamogawa W
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shizuoka Bonita W

(Home)
28 Jun
AS Harima Albio W
0 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
21 Jun
Shizuoka Bonita W
0 : 1
Kunoichi W
13 Jun
Nittaidai W
0 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
07 Jun
Shizuoka Bonita W
1 : 2
Setagaya Sfida FC W
23 May
VONDS Ichihara W
1 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
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Orca Kamogawa W

(Away)
27 Jun
Nittaidai W
0 : 1
Orca Kamogawa W
20 Jun
Orca Kamogawa W
2 : 1
Yokohama FC Seagulls W
14 Jun
Orca Kamogawa W
2 : 1
Ehime W
07 Jun
Kunoichi W
0 : 0
Orca Kamogawa W
24 May
Orca Kamogawa W
0 : 2
Miyazaki W
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