Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tamba F.
9' Event
Avornyo E.
36' Event
Orr N.

AI Match Summary

Bashkimi in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bashkimi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Shkendija Tetovo
20%
Draws
33%
Bashkimi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Shkendija Tetovo have won more games recently than Bashkimi.
  • Model gives Shkendija Tetovo a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shkendija Tetovo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 68%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Tetovo Bashkimi
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.16 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi
4:1
Apr 27, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Shkendija Tetovo
1:3
Oct 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi
5:1
Sep 12, 2025 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bashkimi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamba F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibraimi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Bashkimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Orr N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Avornyo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 68 / 100
Bashkimi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Tetovo Bashkimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shkendija Tetovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bashkimi conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shkendija Tetovo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Tetovo VS Bashkimi
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkendija Tetovo

(Home)
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
28 Aug
Sileks
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
24 Aug
Shkendija Tetovo
2 : 1
Struga
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Bashkimi

(Away)
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5
Bashkimi
05 Sept
FK Skopje
1 : 2
Bashkimi
30 Aug
Bashkimi
1 : 2
Shkendija Haracine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)