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Shkendija Tetovo vs Bregalnica Stip - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Sub
Rafa Freitas In: Ramadani F.
Out: Rafa Freitas
50'
Hadzi-Kimov B.
55'
Gligorov I.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL game between Shkendija Tetovo and Bregalnica Stip finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shkendija Tetovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shkendija Tetovo
20%
Draws
40%
Bregalnica Stip
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Shkendija Tetovo haven't matched Bregalnica Stip's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shkendija Tetovo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular 1. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shkendija Tetovo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 16%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Tetovo Bregalnica Stip
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.88 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bregalnica Stip
4:1
Mar 31, 2024 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bregalnica Stip
4:1
Nov 25, 2023 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Shkendija Tetovo
2:2
Aug 23, 2023 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Bregalnica Stip
2:0
Apr 22, 2023 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Shkendija Tetovo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Trumci A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasniqi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bregalnica Stip Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 48 / 100
Bregalnica Stip 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Tetovo Bregalnica Stip

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shkendija Tetovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Shkendija Tetovo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bregalnica Stip's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Tetovo VS Bregalnica Stip
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkendija Tetovo

(Home)
03 Oct
Llapi
1 : 0
Shkendija Tetovo
26 Sept
Kamjani
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
Page 1 of 7

Bregalnica Stip

(Away)
10 Oct
Tikves
3 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
23 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 0
FK Skopje
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
09 Sept
Teteks
1 : 4
Bregalnica Stip
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Tikves 9 4 4 1 20:7 16
4 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Sileks 9 2 4 3 14:11 10
7 Bregalnica Stip 9 3 1 5 11:16 10
8 Arsimi 9 2 3 4 7:20 9
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)