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Shkendija Tetovo vs Europa FC

Europe Europe

Conference League National Arena Toshe Proeski
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shkendija Tetovo play Europa FC in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shkendija Tetovo averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Europa FC averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Shkendija Tetovo won 1, Europa FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.80 for Shkendija Tetovo and 0.90 for Europa FC. This points to a Europa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shkendija Tetovo
15%
Draws
43%
Europa FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Europa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Shkendija Tetovo picked up more points recently compared to Europa FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.80 vs 0.90 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 25%
Europa FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Tetovo Europa FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League
Shkendija Tetovo vs Europa FC
2-2
Apr 12, 2025 Conference League
Europa FC vs Shkendija Tetovo
3-2
Mar 12, 2025 Conference League
Shkendija Tetovo vs Europa FC
1-2
Feb 12, 2025 Conference League
Europa FC vs Shkendija Tetovo
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 Conference League
Shkendija Tetovo vs Europa FC
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 43 / 100
Europa FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Tetovo Europa FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Europa FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shkendija Tetovo attacking → ← attacking Europa FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Europa FC let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Shkendija Tetovo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Europa FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 56
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.80
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.60