Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shkumbini Peqin vs Butrinti Sarande

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Jaupaj A.
49' Event
Alinani K.
89' Event
Icaro

AI Match Summary

Butrinti Sarande in this First Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Butrinti Sarande.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Shkumbini Peqin
6%
Draws
90%
Butrinti Sarande
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Butrinti Sarande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shkumbini Peqin haven't matched Butrinti Sarande's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Butrinti Sarande's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Butrinti Sarande have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 10%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkumbini Peqin Butrinti Sarande
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 0.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Butrinti Sarande
1:2
Oct 30, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Shkumbini Peqin
5:2
May 4, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Shkumbini Peqin
1:0
Mar 5, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Butrinti Sarande
1:0
Nov 7, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Shkumbini Peqin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Top Goalscorer Icaro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Butrinti Sarande Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaupaj A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alinani K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkumbini Peqin 10 / 100
Butrinti Sarande 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkumbini Peqin Butrinti Sarande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Butrinti Sarande's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Butrinti Sarande conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Shkumbini Peqin scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkumbini Peqin VS Butrinti Sarande
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkumbini Peqin

(Home)
15 Oct
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
18 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 2
Shkumbini Peqin
12 Oct
KF Egnatia
3 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
28 Sept
Shkumbini Peqin
0 : 3
KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 6

Butrinti Sarande

(Away)
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo Tirana
3 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bylis30223551:1869
2Erzeni Shijak30214557:1867
3Korabi Peshkopi30178535:2259
4Apolonia Fier301631144:2551
5Terbuni Puka301211721:1647
6Tomori Berat301281045:3144
7Lushnja301012831:2742
8Burreli301011930:2441
9Besa Kavaje301241436:4040
10Beselidhja Lezha301231545:5439
11Pogradeci301081232:3738
12Turbina Cerrik301141531:4437
13Butrinti Sarande30971432:3634
14Maliqi30651932:6223
15Vora30561932:5421
16Shkumbini Peqin30532230:7618
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)