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Shkupi vs Renova

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2022/2023 Chair Stadion, Skopje
Sun, Nov 6, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shkupi host Renova in the 1. MFL 2022/2023. Renova are expected to control this from the start. Shkupi have averaged 0.53 scored and 3.93 conceded recently, against Renova's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Shkupi slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 6, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.94, favoring Renova. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Shkupi
15%
Draws
85%
Renova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Renova come out ahead of Shkupi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Renova a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%
Renova Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkupi Renova
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 1 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 27 3
Goals Scored 0.53 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2022 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Renova
0:0
Aug 21, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Shkupi
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Renova
2:0
Mar 9, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Shkupi
0:0
Oct 23, 2021 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Renova
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkupi 10 / 100
Renova 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkupi Renova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Renova conceded in 75% of 8 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Shkupi scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Renova lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkupi VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkupi

(Home)
24 May
Brera Strumica
6 : 0
Shkupi
16 May
Shkupi
0 : 7
Rabotnicki
09 May
Pelister
7 : 0
Shkupi
01 May
Shkupi
0 : 4
Makedonija GP
24 Apr
Arsimi
5 : 1
Shkupi
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Renova

(Away)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Struga 30 20 8 2 53:19 68
2 Shkupi 30 17 7 6 62:27 58
3 Shkendija Tetovo 30 16 9 5 43:23 57
4 Sileks 30 13 9 8 41:34 48
5 Bregalnica Stip 30 10 11 9 33:34 41
6 Tikves 30 11 7 12 40:37 40
7 Makedonija GP 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
8 Rabotnicki 30 11 4 15 37:48 37
9 Brera Strumica 30 6 10 14 34:38 28
10 FK Skopje 30 4 10 16 17:44 22
11 Pobeda 30 3 4 23 18:78 13
12 Renova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)